muehlpower wrote: ↑Tue Feb 07, 2023 11:47 am I received the final proposal from GDF. It should fit the original shaft and also work with the speedy sleeve. I also have prices, depend very much on the quantity purchased, but will be at least â�¬80. Do you think there are enough buyers who are willing to do this?
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Here is my analysis on selling newly developed seals
Longevity History
#1 problem is no proven longevity history. So how to make longevity history?
Step 1 : Do PTFE rotational seal development testing. This require
- Measuring the rotory shaft's hardness. Duplicating it in bench testing machine.
- Dynamic testing such as rotate at speed, periodically reverse, vary temperature.
- Additional factors such as adding media contaminants
This require investment ($10k?) by manufacturer or distributor.
Step 2 : Install into test vehicles and monitor.
Step1 seems difficult. No one can see near future profit after $10k investment.
Step2 is possible with DIY LDU rebuilders. Custom EVs such as @BoxsterEV is highly valuable with more accessible LDUs compared to the Tesla Model S LDU rebuilders. However, close and precise test monitoring is challenging.
Installation Difficulty
PTFE rotary seal is much more challenging to install properly than elastomer seals (NBR, FKM)
Shaft surface must be prepared with proper roughness (0.2-0.5um Ra). Zero lead? (maybe garter spring reduce zero lead requirement?)
Avoid folding excluder lip is best achieved with stretching sleeve and installation directions. GFD's latest design has no excluder so this shouldn't be an issue for this seal. Maybe Tesla's latest seal also eliminated excluder due to installation difficulty? (I don't know)
Competition
So far, there is 2 alternative seals.
AliExpress Ceimin seal
Western users naturally distrust this seal. It is from China via AliExpress. No way to have any designer contact to gain design skill and experience confidence. This is a common issue working with foreign designers speaking different language. Even GFD have similar issues. However, GFD is a German company so naturally inherits some confidence from historical German design capability
However, I do think its easy to underestimate Ceimin seal. PTFE rotary seal only has 3 design parameters.
#1 is PTFE blend. Need to be as hard as possible (for longevity) but softer than the shaft (avoid shaft damage)
#2 is shape/geometry depending on shaft diameter and coolant manifold seal bore geometry
#3 is how to reduce leakage. I conclude micro structure pumping aid is unavailable (and maybe ineffective after coolant silicate crystallization clogging the structures) so I think the only solution is # of lips. @asavage distrust this kind of design. However, SKF, Parker, Saint-Gobain all show simple 2x media lip + excluder lip PTFE rotary seal designs in their design catalog (not complex ones with leak extracting channels between the lips). Parker design document says these simple multi-lip designs is for submersed/splash applications. Unfortunately I don't have any knowledge without any chance to speak to experienced PTFE rotary seal developer.
I think the knowledge for these 3 design parameters are fairly well known by many PTFE seal makers. Not much proprietary knowledge exist.
Maybe seal material and assembly quality is another factor. But how much quality difference and how much effect on longevity compared to other factors?
Anyway, Johan and I have 2-3k miles without any leak on speed sensor using Ceimin seal on fairly well prepared shaft surface and installation. Of course need more time for longevity data.
Tesla seal
Tesla do not sell this seal at this time (and maybe never?) The current seal installed into Tesla's remanufactured LDUs appears to have very high failure rate. Some people reporting < 2 years.
These seals are not for sale but are installed in Tesla remanufactured LDUs.
How to make longevity history
I guess without $10k investment, its only possible to start with LDU rebuilders. I guess initial quantity 10 for �100 each can probably sell out quickly. However, seal must be installed and used for valuable testing. If just collected and uninstalled, there is no longevity data benefit. But even if just purchased and collected, it helps initial pilot manufacturing quantity and therefore price.
Also seals will only go into new LDU rebuild efforts. Already completed LDU rebuilds are longevity testing other seals (for example, Johan and I are now testing Ceimin) We would only try another seal if/when our Ceimin seals fail.
15-20km data might arrive in 1-2 years. Any failed seal (or removed for inspection) need to be carefully extracted from the manifold and examined in detail.
If 10-20 seals shows no leak in 1-2 years and 10-15km, then longevity data will increase confidence and more LDU rebuilders will use it. Probably professional rebuilders also become interested. They also can not find any source for seal now (Except QC Charge and they will not provide their seal source) Once professional rebuilders start to purchase, volume will increase quickly.
All 2012-2020 RWD Model S, 2015-2020 Performance dual motor Model S and Model X all use LDUs. Probably total of 0.5M LDUs and 20% is no longer under Tesla warranty. Currently probably at least 50-100 LDUs are being replaced daily.
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Sorry for the long answer. I have also been thinking how to start distributing a newly designed seal.
Here is the latest version of LDU rebuild kit document. pg 27 shows LDU volume projection. 28 outlines what is necessary in an LDU rebuild kit. Many LDUs will fail after inverter stops working so its highly desirable to prepare replacement inverter harness also.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1pjLH0i ... sp=sharing